Will this be the season that the Buffalo Bills finally win a Super Bowl? With 37 days to go before the start of the 2022 NFL season, the Bills are the betting favorite to win Super Bowl 57 at +600 odds, and slightly ahead of the Tampa Bay Bucs at +700 odds.
The Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers were favorites to meet in last year’s Super bowl, but they’re both +1000 odds to win Super Bowl 57. The Packers are one of three teams we think have overvalued odds, along with the Denver Broncos and Dallas Cowboys.
| SUPER BOWL 57 ODDS UPDATE |
| 8/1/2022 | 5/2/2022 | |
| Buffalo Bills | +600 | +650 |
| Tampa Bay Bucs | +700 | +700 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 | +1000 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1000 | +1000 |
| LA Rams | +1100 | +1000 |
| LA Chargers | +1400 | +1600 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1400 | +1700 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1600 | +1400 |
| Denver Broncos | +1600 | +1600 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +2200 | +2200 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +2200 | +2200 |
| Cleveland Browns | +2500 | +1700 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2500 | +1800 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +2500 | +2500 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +2500 | +3500 |
| Tennessee Titans | +4000 | +3000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +4000 | +3500 |
| Miami Dolphins | +4000 | +3500 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +4000 | +4500 |
| New Orleans Saints | +4000 | +5000 |
The defending champion LA Rams are +1100 odds as the fifth-highest team on DraftKings’ NFL futures board. It’s nearly impossible to win the Super Bowl in consecutive seasons in the modern NFL, especially with the season expanded to 17 games.
Bills Mafia Revenge
The NFL is a true war of attrition, and the healthiest team in the playoffs typically wins the Super Bowl. Injuries are impossible to predict, but you can limit your downside by backing teams with depth. The Bills have depth in the important positions including Case Keenum as their backup quarterback behind Josh Allen.
Allen is a Tier 1 quarterback, according to the recent and highly-controversial rankings by The Athletic, but Keenum could be a starter for a handful of team. Teams have won the Super Bowl with a backup quarterback (e.g. Nick Foles and the Philadelphia Eagles), but Allen is the heart and soul of the Bills.
The Bills Mafia also have a salty taste in their mouth after losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC divisional round last postseason. The Chiefs defeated the Bills in overtime in one of the greatest NFL playoff games. However, Allen and the bills did not even get the ball once in overtime because the Chiefs scored a touchdown on their first possession to end the game. The NFL altered the rules to make sure both teams get the ball at least once, but the Bills Mafia felt they were robbed.
The Bills lost four consecutive Super Bowls in the 1990s, and it’s been three decades since the start of the runner-up run, but it’s finally the time of reckoning for the Bills. The public is on the Bills Mafia bandwagon too, which is why the Bills are the consensus betting favorite to win the Super Bowl. We already fired a futures bet on the Bills to win Super Bowl 57 at +600 odds.
Overvalued: Packers, Broncos, Cowboys
The Green Bay Packers won 13 games in the last three seasons, but have zero Super Bowl appearances to show for it. The Packers lost in the NFC Championship twice, and were picked off in the quarterfinals last season when the San Francisco 49ers — with a banged up Jimmy G — upset the Packers at the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. It was a heartbreaking loss considering the Packers were the favorite to win the Super Bowl for most of the season.
After superstar WR Davante Adams bolted in free agency to the Las Vegas Raiders, we lost faith in the Packers to win the big one. Aaron Rodgers will have to get over his trust issues quickly and find a reliable WR that he trusts in crunch time. The Packers are one of the top four favorites on the board at +1000 odds, but the number is inflated due to all the diehard cheeseheads.
The Denver Broncos have a bright future after they acquired Russell Wilson in a trade with the Seattle Seahawks. Everyone thought the Broncos would land Rodgers in a trade, but he surprised everyone when he signed a $200 million contract to remain with he Packers. Wilson is an exceptional Plan B, but it’s going to take a couple seasons before the Broncos can make a run at a Super Bowl. The Broncos saw a boost in their Super Bowl odds to +1600 after the addition of Wilson, but the bookies are minting money on hopeful fans.
The Dallas Cowboys are +1400 odds to win the Super Bowl, but save your money. So long as Mike McCarthy is the head coach and owner Jerry Jones still meddles in a lot of decisions, the Cowboys are not going anywhere.
Dirty Dozen
It’s weird to see the New England Patriots listed among the bottom 12 teams in the NFL futures board, but this is the new world order in the NFL after Brady left New England. The Patriots are still the best of the bottom dozen at +5000 odds to win Super Bowl 57, but that’s a huge gap considering the Bills are the betting favorite at +600. If the Patriots make the playoffs as an AF Wild Card team, I still wouldn’t want to play them.
| SUPER BOWL 57 ODDS |
| NOW | 5/2/22 | |
| New England Patriots | +5000 | +4000 |
| Washington Commanders | +7000 | +6500 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +9000 | +6500 |
| New York Giants | +13000 | +10000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +13000 | +10000 |
| New York Jets | +13000 | +10000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +13000 | +13000 |
| Chicago Bears | +15000 | +10000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +15000 | +10000 |
| Detroit Lions | +15000 | +15000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +20000 | +15000 |
| Houston Texans | +25000 | +20000 |
There’s always at least one surprise team who qualifies for the postseason but missed the playoffs the year before. Could any of those teams be among these bottom 12? The Cincinnati Bengals were +10000 odds at the start of last season, and then ran the table in the playoffs to secure a berth in the Super bowl. Alas, the Bengals ran out of gas in the Super Bowl and could not beat the Rams on their home turf. Aside from the Patriots, there’s not much value at the bottom of the futures board heading into the season.